OG/Crypto.com

Do parlay buyers win?

Every settled COMBO, in dollars: what buyers staked, what they got back, and the gap between the two. Parlays only — the whole-suite price calibration lives on Outcomes.

OG/Crypto.com parlays: daily and cumulative P&L, gross

Over sessions, settled parlays carrying M contracts lost their buyers gross — per contract. The first days are drawn faded and are provisional. A parlay is only counted when the window contains every print it ever traded, and a parlay settling in the opening days was often created before collection began, so those days hold less than their true volume. 80% of parlays settle within a day of being created and 99.9% within a fortnight, so the shortfall does not reach past it.

Green days are days the parlay bettors came out ahead; red days they did not. Because a parlay is settled as one contract, a single large winning combo can turn a day green on its own.

See also: Parlays for adoption and volume, OG/Crypto.com · Outcomes for whole-suite price calibration, and OG/Crypto.com · Activity.

OG/Crypto.com parlays: share of stakes lost, by price paid

Share of stakes lost at each price after the taker fee, with the dollars under each bar — .

How the price breakdown is measured

Every COMBO trade is scored against its settlement and grouped by the price paid, on the day it was bought. The fee is the taker fee Crypto.com publishes for combos: 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per contract, which is 1.75¢ at 50¢ and under 0.1¢ at 1¢. It applies from June 30; before that the fee was 2¢ a contract. The data has no time of day for each trade, so the switch is applied by trading day. The venue's records don't say whether a trade was a buy or a sell, so a parlay sold back before settlement can't be separated out the way Kalshi's cash-outs are: every trade counts as a bet held to the end.